Japan's Ishiba Re-Elected as Prime Minister Despite Lost Majority

Published NOV 11 2024

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Image copyright: *** GETTY *** Kiyoshi Ota-Pool/Getty Images

The Spin

While the ruling coalition failed to secure a majority in the lower house in the snap general election last month, it's only natural that Ishiba stays as prime minister given that his political party remains the largest in the country. In fact, even if his approval ratings are low, most people believe he must remain in office.

Nikkei Asia CNA

That Ishiba won the parliamentary vote to stays as prime minister doesn't change the fact that Japanese voters have left him and his ruling coalition without a clear mandate to govern the country. Once he is able to pass the budget bills, Ishiba must resign and allow the Liberal Democratic Party to choose another leader.

Japantimes JAPAN Forward

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that the LDP qill lose its status as largest party in the House of Representatives of Japan by July 2041, according to the Metaculus prediction community.