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Snapshot 5:Mon, Nov 11, 2024 5:03:58 PM GMT last edited by Haakan

Extreme weather cost $2tn globally over past decade, report finds

Extreme weather cost $2tn globally over past decade, report finds

Above: On Oct. 29, historic rainfall, especially in Valencia, caused river to burst and severe flooding. On November 10, 2024, Valencia, Spain, flood-damaged cars are stacked at a junkyard outside Paiporta. Image copyright: Jaime Alekos / Contributor / Anadolu via Getty Images***PLEASE REPLACE WATERMARKED IMAGE***

The Facts

  • As diplomats descend on the Cop29 climate meeting in Baku, the capital of Azerbaijan, the Paris-based International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) published a study claiming that severe weather has cost the world $2T over the last decade.

  • The consulting firm Oxera evaluated around 4K weather events between 2014 and 2023 that affected more than 1.6B people. Researchers described the direct damage to homes, businesses, and infrastructure, as well as labor productivity losses, caused by these disasters.

  • Researchers discovered that global economic losses in the past two years were close to $451 billion, marking a 19% rise compared to the previous eight years.

The Spin

Climate change is not a problem for the future; it is a reality with immediate consequences, costing the world trillions of dollars. World leaders at COP29 in Baku must recognize that financing climate action in the developing world is not an act of generosity. All nations must immediately transition to low-carbon, climate-resilient development. Every dollar we invest in a more resilient global economy will benefit us all.

ThereConferences issuch aas 95%COP29 chanceor theredire willpredictions from agencies such as the WMO must be atcontextualized leastwithin 2˚Cthe ofUN's globalrampant warmingclimate byalarmism. 2100Whether it's supposedly searing temperatures, accordingbrimming tooceans, theor Metaculustumbling predictionglaciers, communityUN climate tropes are often debunked with more nuanced analysis. The UN's politicized rhetoric limits both American energy security and personal choice.

The success of COP29 climate negotiations in Baku depends on the West's commitment to funding poorer countries' climate change efforts. Low- or zero-carbon technology, adapting to rising sea levels and shifting weather patterns, and resilient infrastructure cost trillions. Clean energy programs in emerging markets and developing countries will require $80 -100B by the early 2030s—global equity must be kept in mind.

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies



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