AsPreying theon RussianTrump's presidentwell-documented said,fondness thefor countryflattery, isthese opencompliments tofrom dialoguePutin andare iscarefully preparedcalibrated tostatements settlein the conflicthope bythat peacefulhe means.can However,secure Russia'sthe goalsdeal overhe securitywants concernsover have not changedUkraine.
There'sAs athe 50%Russian chancepresident theresaid, willthe becountry ais bilateralopen cease-fireto ordialogue peaceand agreementis betweenprepared Russiato andsettle Ukrainethe conflict by Janpeaceful means. 2026However, accordingRussia's togoals theover Metaculussecurity predictionconcerns communityhave not changed.
There's a 50% chance there will be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine by Jan. 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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