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2024 'Virtually Certain' To Be Hottest Year, Pass 1.5 Degree Threshold

2024 'Virtually Certain' To Be Hottest Year, Pass 1.5 Degree Threshold

Above: Smoke is emitted from the chimney of brick kiln in the Indian city of Jalandhar on Dec. 20, 2017. Image copyright: SHAMMI MEHRA/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

The unprecedented temperature rise represents a human rights crisis, causing thousands of deaths, displacement, and loss of livelihoods through extreme weather events, making immediate action crucial for human survival.

The climate crisis has reached unprecedented levels with greenhouse gases accumulating faster than at any time in human history. Current emission levels guarantee catastrophic consequences for every nation's economy and billions of lives. Immediate and drastic action is required to prevent irreversible damage to Earth's climate systems.

The unprecedented warming demonstrates an urgent need for immediate action on fossil fuel emissions, as current planetary temperatures approach dangerous thresholds that could irreversibly damage entire ecosystems. Without rapid phase-out of fossil fuels, even these record temperatures will soon seem cool by comparison.

The unprecedented temperature rise demands immediate action to phase out fossil fuels, as current conditions will seem cool compared to future years without intervention. The situation has reached a critical point that threatens to irreversibly damage entire ecosystems, making the upcoming COP 28 conference crucial for global climate action.

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Metaculus Prediction

There is a 50% chance that there will be at least 2.92C of global warming by the year 2100, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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