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Snapshot 2:Thu, Nov 7, 2024 12:17:38 PM GMT last edited by ArthursSeat22

Zelenskyy Holds 'Excellent' Phone Call With Trump

Zelenskyy Holds 'Excellent' Phone Call With Trump

Above: Ukrainian Pres. Volodymyr Zelenskyy and former US Pres. Donald Trump gather for a meeting on September 27, 2024 in New York City. Image copyright: Alex Kent/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Despite Ukraine's Zelenskyy putting on a brave face, the election of Trump is devastating news for his country and is a massive gift to Putin and the Kremlin. Trump's insistence that he would quickly strike a deal would likely mean that Ukraine has to hand over vast swaths of territory and that it would be non-aligned with NATO, both of which are unacceptable to its people.

Irrespective of who won the US election, Ukraine is losing the war and is now losing territory at the fastest rate of the conflict. Under the Democrats, they would have prolonged the war with more weapons, only increasing the nation's suffering. At least under Trump, there's a good chance the conflict will be brought to a close and it will stop thousands of Ukrainian soldiers from dying unnecessarily.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance there will be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine by Jan. 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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