Last New York Times/Siena poll of the 7 battleground states released: See the results
USA TodayNOV 2024
Trump Casts Vote in Florida
Trump Casts Vote in Florida
Above: Former Pres. Donald Trump speaks to the press after casting his vote in Palm Beach, Fla., Tuesday. Image copyright: Chip Somodevilla/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images
The Spin
Trump has every reason to be confident the election will go his way, considering the enthusiastic turnout among Republican voters and the solid campaign he ran. There's no reason for him to have any regrets, unlike his opponent, whose foibles probably cost her a chance to beat Trump.
There's no reason to believe anything Trump said, considering he claimed he would accept the result in a "fair" election but then, without evidence, spoke about having a big lead entering Election Day while spreading conspiracy theories about the reliability of voting machines. If 2020 is anything to go by, Trump has no plans to concede.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 56% chance that the 2024 presidential election will also be considered fraudulent by the losing party, according to the Metaculus prediction community.