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Snapshot 5:Thu, Oct 31, 2024 7:51:26 PM GMT last edited by MattKalman

N Korea fires banned missile in longest flight yet

N Korea fires banned missile in longest flight yet

Above: A man watches a news broadcast with file footage of a North Korean missile test in Seoul on Oct. 31, 2024. Image copyright: Jung Yeon-Je/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

The DPRK violated several UN Security Council resolutions by launching an ICBM Thursday morning. To maintain peace and security across the Korean Peninsula and beyond, Pyongyang must stop its provocative and destabilizing acts. North Korea must promptly resume talks. The US and its regional partners condemn the North Korea-Russia military cooperation, denouncing its illegal weapons transfers and the recent deployment of North Korean soldiers to Russia.

Kim Jung Un, the Supreme Leader of North Korea, sent a powerful message to all of his enemes with Thursday's ICBM test. It was a clear show of the DPRK's strategic capabilities and credibility in terms of its nuclear deterrence.

As Election Day for the US presidential election approaches, North Korea's recent test launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) aimed at striking the continental US should alarm the US foreign affairs establishment. The US and its regional allies have escalated tensions, effectively pushing North Korea, Russia, and China closer together. As a result, US national security is facing significant challenges.

Metaculus Prediction

There's an 18% chance that North and South Korea will be at war before Jan. 1, 2050, according to WPR and the Meteaculus prediction community.


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