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Snapshot 4:Thu, Oct 31, 2024 7:35:19 PM GMT last edited by Haakan

N Korea fires banned missile in longest flight yet

N Korea fires banned missile in longest flight yet

Above: On October 31, 2024, at a train stop in Seoul, a man is watching the news on TV. The TV screen shows pictures of a North Korean missile test. The military in South Korea said that North Korea fired a "long-range ballistic missile" on October 31. Image copyright: JUNG YEON-JE / Contributor / AFP via Getty Images***PLEASE REPLACE WATERMARKED IMAGE***

The Spin

The DPRK violated several UN Security Council resolutions by launching an ICBM Thursday morning. To maintain peace and security across the Korean Peninsula and beyond, Pyongyang must stop its provocative and destabilizing acts. North Korea must promptly resume talks. The US and its regional partners condemn the North Korea-Russia military cooperation, denouncing its illegal weapons transfers and the recent deployment of North Korean soldiers to Russia.

Kim Jung Un, the Supreme Leader of North Korea, sent a powerful message to all of his enemes with Thursday's ICBM test. It was a clear show of the DPRK's strategic capabilities and credibility in terms of its nuclear deterrence.

As Election Day for the US presidential election approaches, North Korea's latestrecent test launch of thean intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) capableaimed ofat striking the continental US should sendalarm shockwaves through the US foreign policyaffairs establishment. NorthThe KoreaUS isand raisingits regional allies have escalated tensions, effectively pushing North Korea, Russia, and Pyongyang'sChina testcloser launchtogether. significantlyAs threatensa result, US national security is facing significant challenges.

Metaculus Prediction

There is an 18% chance that North and South Korea will be at war before 2050, according to WPR and the Meteaculus prediction community.


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