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Snapshot 4:Thu, Oct 31, 2024 7:35:19 PM GMT last edited by Haakan

N Korea fires banned missile in longest flight yet

N Korea fires banned missile in longest flight yet

Above: On October 31, 2024, at a train stop in Seoul, a man is watching the news on TV. The TV screen shows pictures of a North Korean missile test. The military in South Korea said that North Korea fired a "long-range ballistic missile" on October 31. Image credit: JUNG YEON-JE / Contributor / AFP via Getty Images***PLEASE REPLACE WATERMARKED IMAGE***

The Spin

AsThe theDPRK USviolated presidentialseveral electionUN approaches,Security NorthCouncil Korea'sresolutions latestby testlaunching launchan ofICBM theThursday ICBMmorning. capableTo ofmaintain strikingpeace and security across the continentalKorean USPeninsula shouldand sendbeyond, shockwavesPyongyang throughmust thestop USits foreignprovocative policyand establishmentdestabilizing acts. North Korea ismust raisingpromptly resume talks. The US and its regional tensionspartners condemn the North Korea-Russia military cooperation, denouncing its illegal weapons transfers and Pyongyang'sthe testrecent launchdeployment significantlyof threatensNorth USKorean nationalsoldiers securityto Russia.

Kim Jung Un, the Supreme Leader of North Korea, sent a powerful message to all of his enemes with Thursday's ICBM test. It was a clear show of the DPRK's strategic capabilities and credibility in terms of its nuclear deterrence.

ThereAs isElection anDay 18%for chancethe thatUS Northpresidential andelection Southapproaches, North Korea's willrecent betest launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) aimed at warstriking beforethe 2050continental US should alarm the US foreign affairs establishment. The US and its regional allies have escalated tensions, accordingeffectively topushing WPRNorth Korea, Russia, and theChina Meteaculuscloser predictiontogether. communityAs a result, US national security is facing significant challenges.

Metaculus Prediction

There is an 18% chance that North and South Korea will be at war before 2050, according to WPR and the Meteaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0