N Korea fires banned missile in longest flight yet

Above: On October 31, 2024, at a train stop in Seoul, a man is watching the news on TV. The TV screen shows pictures of a North Korean missile test. The military in South Korea said that North Korea fired a "long-range ballistic missile" on October 31. Image copyright: JUNG YEON-JE / Contributor / AFP via Getty Images***PLEASE REPLACE WATERMARKED IMAGE***

The Spin

As the US presidential election approaches, North Korea's latest test launch of the ICBM capable of striking the continental US should send shockwaves through the US foreign policy establishment. North Korea is raising regional tensions, and Pyongyang's test launch significantly threatens US national security.

Kim Jung Un, the Supreme Leader of North Korea, sent a powerful message to all of his enemes with Thursday's ICBM test. It was a clear show of the DPRK's strategic capabilities and credibility in terms of its nuclear deterrence.

Metaculus Prediction

There is an 18% chance that North and South Korea will be at war before 2050, according to WPR and the Meteaculus prediction community.


Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!