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Snapshot 10:Thu, Oct 31, 2024 5:41:43 PM GMT last edited by null

Scores Flee Baalbek in Eastern Lebanon After Israeli Evacuation Orders

Scores Flee Baalbek in Eastern Lebanon After Israeli Evacuation Orders

Above: Smoke rises from the site of an Israeli airstrike that targeted Lebanon's eastern city of Baalbek, in the Bekaa Valley, on Oct. 30, 2024. Image copyright: Nidal Solh/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

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There'sThese a"cease-fire" 72%talks chanceare thatyet another ruse cooked up by the numberAmericans ofto deathsprovide dueIsrael with diplomatic cover to directcontinue conflictits betweengenocide in Gaza and its destruction of Lebanon. Indeed, it is quite clear that Israel's political and Iranmilitary reachleadership thehas 100decided that a drawn-personout thresholdregional beforewar 2026,is accordingin toIsrael's best interest. Israel will continue targeting innocent civilians across the MetaculusMiddle predictionEast, communityall bankrolled by the US.

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Metaculus Prediction

There's a 72% chance that the number of deaths due to direct conflict between Israel and Iran reach the 100-person threshold before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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