ThereThis iscould abe 60%an chance"October surprise" moment that bothcould shift public sentiment in favor of Kamala Harris. Hinchcliffe's racist slurs have gone viral, potentially affecting many Puerto Ricans and other Latinos across the firstUS, twoespecially electedin Senatorsbattleground willstates, beas Democratsthey ifmake their voting decisions on Election Day. The Trump campaign has made fun of an already marginalized demographic, and it is evident that Puerto Rico becomesis not a USpriority statefor byTrump. 2035,He accordingwithheld tobillions theof Metaculusdollars predictionin communityhurricane relief for Puerto Rico following Hurricane Maria in 2017.
Hinchcliffe's jokes at the Madison Square Garden rally on Sunday night were clearly in poor taste and fell flat. These jokes do not represent the views of President Trump or his campaign. Trump's supporters understand his vision that he aims to be president for all Americans. Perhaps we want to shift our focus from being easily offended to addressing the real issues.
There is a 60% chance that both of the first two elected Senators will be Democrats if Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.