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Snapshot 6:Mon, Oct 28, 2024 6:31:57 PM GMT last edited by null

Egypt Proposes 48-Hour Cease-fire in Gaza, Release of 4 Hostages

Egypt Proposes 48-Hour Cease-fire in Gaza, Release of 4 Hostages

Above: Residents return to their homes as significant damage was left behind following the withdrawal of the Israeli forces from Beit Lahia, Gaza Strip on Oct. 27, 2024. Image copyright: Khalil Ramzi Alkahlut/Contributor/Anadolu via Getty Images

The Spin

Though the situation in the region continues to escalate, the US has stood firm in its role as a mediator. Israel has every right to respond to the daily terror attacks it has seen since Oct. 7. However, it is in no one's interest for tensions to explode into a wider regional war. The US will continue to work toward regional stability.

Though Israel has consistently worked to end the conflict, US pressure to limit its military operations and goals has consistently been proven flawed. Israel has managed to decimate Hamas and Hezbollah, and it very well may need to continue fighting for a while longer. Though Netanyahu can be tough to deal with, he has crushed Israel's enemies and continues to work toward a secure Israel.

These "cease-fire" talks are yet another ruse cooked up by the Americans to provide Israel with diplomatic cover to continue its genocide in Gaza and its destruction of Lebanon. Indeed, it is quite clear that Israel's political and military leadership have decided that a drawn-out regional war is in Israel's best interest. Israel will continue its atrocities against innocent civilians across the Middle East, all bankrolled by the US.

Hezbollah and Lebanon have experienced immense suffering for supporting Palestine against Israel's genocidal actions, yet the group will continue its noble fight. Hezbollah is ready and able to defend Lebanon from Israeli aggression and its attacks will end when Israel withdraws from Gaza.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 2% chance that the Gaza war end and significant progress will be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before Jan. 1, 2030.


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