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Snapshot 7:Tue, Oct 29, 2024 3:34:29 AM GMT last edited by Eric

UN: National Climate Pledges 'Miles Short' of 2030 Target

UN: National Climate Pledges 'Miles Short' of 2030 Target

Above: Worker and police walk past near the COP29 banner at Baku Olympic Stadium on Oct. 23, 2024 in Baku, Azerbaijan. Image copyright: Aziz Karimov/Contributor/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

TheTwo successweeks ofbefore nextworld month'sleaders meet for the COP29 global climate negotiations, innew Bakudata dependsindicates onthat the West'sworld commitmentis tofar fundingfrom poorermeeting countries'the climategoals changeoutlined efforts.in Low-the or2015 zero-carbonParis technology,Agreement. adaptingThese togoals risingaim seato levelsreduce andgreenhouse shiftinggases weatherto patterns,a andlevel resilientnecessary infrastructureby cost2030 trillions.to Cleanprevent energythe programsworst inimpacts emergingof marketsglobal andwarming. developingThis countriesnew willinformation requireshould $80prompt -100Bworld byleaders theto earlyreconsider 2030sand revise globaltheir equitypledges mustahead beof keptthis incrucial mindmeeting.

ThereConferences issuch aas 50%COP29 chanceor thatdire atpredictions leastfrom 44.2%agencies ofsuch countriesas thatthe pledgeWMO carbonmust neutralitybe bycontextualized 2050within willthe keepUN's theirrampant pledgeclimate alarmism. Whether it's supposedly searing temperatures, accordingbrimming tooceans, theor Metaculustumbling predictionglaciers, communityUN climate tropes are often debunked with more nuanced analysis. The UN's politicized rhetoric limits both American energy security and personal choice.

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Metaculus Prediction

There is a 50% chance that at least 44.2% of countries that pledge carbon neutrality by 2050 will keep their pledge, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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