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Snapshot 6:Mon, Oct 28, 2024 9:12:06 PM GMT last edited by NickBurk

Japan: Ruling Party Loses Majority After Snap Election

Japan: Ruling Party Loses Majority After Snap Election

Japan: Ruling Party Loses Majority After Snap Election
Above: Shigeru Ishiba at the LDP's headquarters in Tokyo, Japan, on Oct. 27, 2024. Image credit: Toru Hanai/Contributor/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Spin

ThoughDespite a monumental blow to Ishiba and his coalition, the LDP remains Japan's oppositionlargest partiesparty, wereand unableits tocontinued comegovernance toof anthe officialcountry agreementremains priora toplausible theoutcome electionof tothis finallyelection. removeIshiba's aascension weakenedas andLDP scandal-riddledleader LDPwas fromintended power,as momentuma remainsbreak withfrom the country'sstatus advocatesquo forpolitical changecorruption followingthat ahad hugelymarred successfulJapan night for theso CDPJ.long Now, thedivided realopposition discussionsmay mustbuy begin,the asprime rivalminister intereststime andto ideologiesshore mustup behis placedposition toand oneturn sidethe tocorner ensurethat athe newcountry eraso forclearly Japanese politicsdesires.

DespiteThough aJapan's monumentalopposition blowparties were unable to Ishibacome andto hisan coalition,official theagreement LDPprior remainsto Japan'sthe largestelection party,to andfinally itsremove continueda governanceweakened ofand thescandal-riddled countryLDP remainsfrom apower, plausiblemomentum outcomeremains ofwith thisthe election. Ishibacountry's ascensionadvocates asfor LDPchange leaderfollowing wasa intendedhugely assuccessful anight breakfor from the statusCDPJ. quoNow, politicalthe corruptionreal thatdiscussions hadmust marredbegin, Japanas forrival sointerests longand ideologies dividedmust oppositionbe mayplaced buyto theone primeside minister time to shoreensure upa hisnew positionera andfor turnJapanese the corner that the country so clearly desirespolitics.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 50% chance that the LDP will lose its status as the largest party in the House of Representatives of Japan by July 2041, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.18.0