Political upheaval in Japan after snap election leaves no clear winner
CBSOCT 2024
Though Japan's opposition parties were unable to come to an official agreement prior to the election to finally remove a weakened and scandal-riddled LDP from power, momentum remains with the country's advocates for change following a hugely successful night for the CDPJ. Now, the real discussions must begin, as rival interests and ideologies must be placed to one side to ensure a new era for Japanese politics.
Despite a monumental blow to Ishiba and his coalition, the LDP remains Japan's largest party, and its continued governance of the country remains a plausible outcome of this election. Ishiba's ascension as LDP leader was intended as a break from the status quo political corruption that had marred Japan for so long — divided opposition may buy the prime minister time to sure up his position and turn the corner that the country so clearly desires.
There's a 50% chance that the LDP will lose its status as the largest party in the House of Representatives of Japan by July 2041, according to the Metaculus prediction community.