Political upheaval in Japan after snap election leaves no clear winner
CBSNOV 2024
Whilst Japan's opposition parties were unable to come to an official agreement prior to the election in order to finally remove a weakened and scandal-riddled LDP from power, momentum remains with the country's advocates for change following a hugely successful night for the CDP. Now the real discussions must begin as rival interests and ideologies must be placed to one side in order to ensure a new era for Japanese politics.
Whilst a monumental blow to Ishiba and his coalition, the LDP remain the largest party in Japan and their continued governance of the country remains a plausible outcome of this election. Ishiba's ascension as LDP leader was intended as a break from the status quo political corruption that had marred Japan for so long – divided opposition may buy the Prime Minister time to sure up his position and turn the corner that the country so clearly desires.
There is a 50% chance that the LDP will lose its status as the largest party in Japan's lower chamber, the House of Representatives, by July 2041, according to the Metaculus prediction community.