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Snapshot 9:Fri, Oct 25, 2024 8:26:40 PM GMT last edited by NickBurk

Arizona: Ballots Damaged After Collection Box Blaze

Arizona: Ballots Damaged After USPS Collection Box Blaze

Arizona: Ballots Damaged After Collection Box Blaze
Image copyright: Rebecca Noble/Contributor/Bloomberg via Getty Images

The Spin

AfterWhile somethis worry,incident itmay turnsnot outhave thebeen suspectelection-related, byfears hisof ownpolitical admission,violence wasin notArizona politicallyremain motivatedreal. KlofkornRecently, whoa alreadyman hadwas anarrested outstandingin arrestconnection warrant,with simplythree wantedshootings toat bea putDNC in jail. Luckilyoffice, itwhile alsoa seems17-year-old thatwas thearrested amounton ofterrorism ballotscharges destroyedafter wasplanning lowerto thanbomb thea initialPride numberevent. thatArizonans Phoenixare policeunderstandably thoughton were damagededge.

WhileAfter thissome incidentworry, mayit notturns haveout beenthe election-relatedsuspect, fearsby ofhis politicalown violenceadmission, inwas Arizonanot remainpolitically realmotivated. RecentlyKlofkorn, awho manalready washad arrestedan inoutstanding connectionarrest withwarrant, threesimply shootingswanted atto abe DNCput officein jail. Luckily, whileit aalso 17-year-oldseems wasthat arrestedthe onnumber terrorismof chargesballots afterdestroyed planningwas tolower bombthan athe Prideinitial event.number Arizonansthat arePhoenix rightpolice tothought bewere on edgedamaged.

There'sWhile athis 58.2%incident chancemay thatnot Republicanshave willbeen winelection-related, fears of political violence in Arizona remain real. Recently, a man was arrested in theconnection 2024with USthree presidentialshootings electionat a DNC office, accordingwhile a 17-year-old was arrested on terrorism charges after planning to thebomb Metaculusa predictionPride communityevent. Arizonans are understandably on edge.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 58.2% chance that Republicans will win Arizona in the 2024 US presidential election, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.0