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Metaculus

"I will do everything in my power to unite the Democratic Party... to defeat Donald Trump... And together, we will win."

"This is a race Democrats can and must win."

"If the Democrats can be unified... then they have a good chance to win in November."

"I’d be very wary and a bit cautious on assuming that Trump is just going to sail to victory."

"Donald Trump’s hopes of claiming the White House just went from near certain to extremely uncertain" now Biden has dropped out.

"This kind of chaos this close to Election Day means Trump is going to win."

"It doesn’t matter whom the Democrats pick... Donald Trump will win in November."

"Donald Trump is now the de facto president."

"If the 2024 presidential election is a race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris then Trump will win, every time, and most likely win easily."

"Harris will be easier to beat than Joe Biden would have been."

Who Will Win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

An Arab News/YouGov poll released on Monday found that former Pres. Donald Trump is leading his Democratic opponent, Vice Pres. Kamala Harris, among Arab Americans, 45% to 43%.

Newsweek

The Hill

Breitbart

Green Party candidate Jill Stein polled third at 4%, with 6% still undecided and another 2% not revealing their preference. 500 Arab American voters were surveyed nationwide late last month, with a margin error of plus or minus 5.93%.

Al Jazeera

The poll also found that Trump is more trusted than Harris, 39% to 33%, to successfully resolve the Israel-Palestine conflict despite being seen as more supportive of the current Israeli government, and to handle the economy, 47% to 41%.

Arab News

Semafor

49% of the respondents either identify as Democrats or lean to the Democratic Party, while 36% think of themselves as Republicans or lean to the Republican Party.

Earlier this month, an Arab American Institute poll showed Trump and Harries virtually tied in this demographic, 42% to 41%, with Republican nominee leading by four points, 46% to 42%, among likely voters.

Arab American Institute

Forbes

The Hill #

Newsweek #5396

Breitbart #

Arab News #

Semafor #

Al Jazeera #3357

The Jerusalem Post

The Jerusalem Post #

Arab American Institute #

Forbes #

Detroit Free Press

Detroit Free Press #

Opinion: I'm an Arab American activist. We have no choice but to vote for Kamala Harris.

US Presidential Election 2024 Overview

US Election Issue: Israel-Gaza War

US Election: Trump v. Harris Pledges

Poll: Trump Leads Harris Among Arab Americans

Politics

United States of America

Palestine

Islam

FOX News

Arab Americans sour on Democrats amid war in Middle East: Activist says Trump outreach has been ‘surreal’

There's a 51.3% chance that Donald Trump will be elected US President in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Poll: Trump Leads Harris Among Arab Americans

Poll: Trump Leads Harris Among Arab Americans

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

The Controversies

Harris

Clinton

Okun

Myers

Sabur

Sharma

Andrews

Mills

Goodwin

Trump

Go Deeper

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Poll: Trump Leads Harris Among Arab Americans

Poll: Trump Leads Harris Among Arab Americans

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

The Controversies

Harris

Clinton

Okun

Myers

Sabur

Sharma

Andrews

Mills

Goodwin

Trump

Go Deeper

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