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Snapshot 9:Wed, Oct 23, 2024 12:45:18 PM GMT last edited by NickBurk

Australia to Buy $4.7B of US Missiles to Boost Deterrence

Australia to Buy $4.7B of US Missiles Amidto Asia-PacificBoost TensionsDeterrence

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The Spin

The defense overhaul is crucial for Australia's national security in the face of rapidly changing regional dynamics. China's military expansion and assertiveness in the South China Sea pose significant challenges to the rules-based order in the Indo-Pacific. By investing in long-range strike capabilities and strengthening partnerships with allies, Australia can better defend its interests and contribute to regional stability.

Australia has made a bold strategic move withby theinvesting investment in advanced US-made SM-2 IIIC and SM-6 missiles. BesidesThis move significantly boostingboosts its naval defense, itand cements Australia's alliance with Americathe US. It underscores growing concerns about regional security, even though some argue that the China threat is overstated. However, Australia must not solely rely on the US for defense amid a shifting geopolitical landscape.

The review's focus on China as a potential threat may unnecessarily escalate tensions in the region. Australia's increased military spending and alignment with the United States could be perceived as provocative, potentially leading to an arms race in the Indo-Pacific. A more balanced approach that prioritizes diplomatic engagement and economic cooperation might better serve Australia's long-term interests and regional stability.

Australia is unnecessarily hyping up the "China threat" narrative. China is committed to maintaining peace and stability in the Asia-Pacific and does not pose a challenge to any country. Australia's increased military spending and focus on long-range strike capabilities may contribute to regional tensions and an arms race, potentially undermining peace and security in the Indo-Pacific.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 31% chance that Australia will operate a nuclear power plant before 2042, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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