China says India border is stable, contrasting with Indian view
NBCJUL 2023
After almost four years of tense military standoff, the new deal between India and China offers hope for normalized relations. Both nations seem ready to narrow their differences. Beijing appears to be recognizing the costs of its aggressive stance—damaged relations with a major Asian neighbor and lost economic opportunities—while Delhi acknowledges the importance of engagement. This breakthrough could restore vital political and economic ties.
A one-time agreement to de-escalate tensions cannot resolve the protracted India-China border dispute. While diplomatic talks have achieved limited troop withdrawals in the past, the core dispute remains unresolved. As both nuclear-armed nations enhance their military presence and infrastructure, the risk of future conflict grows, threatening strategic stability in Asia and complicating an already fragile relationship.
There is a 16% chance of a China-India war by 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.