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Snapshot 10:Tue, Oct 22, 2024 3:39:38 PM GMT last edited by Haakan

India, China to Disengage Border Troops And Set Patrolling Norms

India, China to Disengage Border Troops And Set Patrolling Norms

Above: On June 17, 2020, Indian border security force troops guarded a military bunker on the Srinagar-Leh route. A deadly fight with Chinese forces in a disputed border territory killed at least 20 Indian soldiers. Image copyright: Faisal Khan / Contributor /Anadolu via Getty Images***PLEASE REPLACE WATERMARKED IMAGE***

The Spin

After nearlyalmost four years of tense military standoff, the new deal between India and China offers hope for normalized relations. Clearly,Both both nations areseem ready to narrow their differences. Beijing appears to be recognizing the costs of its aggressive stance damaged relations with a major Asian neighbor and lost economic opportunities while Delhi acknowledges the importance of engagement. This breakthrough could restore vital political and economic ties.

TheA longone-runningtime Indiaagreement to de-Chinaescalate bordertensions dispute cannot beresolve solvedthe byprotracted a oneIndia-offChina dealborder to de-escalate tensionsdispute. While diplomatic talks have achieved limited troop withdrawals in the past, the core dispute remains unresolved. As both nuclear-armed nations enhance their military presence and infrastructure, the risk of future conflict grows, threatening strategic stability in Asia and complicating an already fragile relationship.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 16% chance of a China-India war by 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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