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Snapshot 5:Fri, Oct 18, 2024 7:26:02 PM GMT last edited by KateHennig

China Q3 GDP Growth Slows to 4.6%

China Q3 GDP Growth Slows to 4.6%

Above: A newly built residential complex in Hangzhou, Zhejiang province. Investment in real estate development across China fell by 10.1% year-on-year in January-September period of 2024, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. Photo taken on Oct.17. Image copyright: CFOTO/Contributor/NurPhoto via Getty Images

The Facts

  • According to new data from China's National Bureau of Statistics, released on Friday, the nation's annual gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate in the three months to September was 4.6%, the lowest since early last year.

  • Though this rate missed the 5% threshold for the second quarter in a row, it beat market expectations of 4.5%.

  • This comes as Beijing announced a series of measures in September, including slashing interest rates and dropping mortgage rates, which resulted in a record market surge.

The Spin

This latest data paints a significantly pessimistic outlook compared to a July survey, which predicted 5.0% growth in 2024. The assumption currently is that China will miss its aim, falling to 4.8% in 2024 and maybe cooling further by 2025. The government is under pressure to implement new stimulus programs, while consumers are hoping for deflationary actions.

Despite a slower third quarter, China's economy still beat estimates and is on track to meet its 5% growth target. Economic growth remains at 4.8% year-over-year, and Beijing has taken adequate measures to boost consumer confidence. China can afford to expand at a slightly slower pace in the third quarter while still meeting its full-year growth objective.

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