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Snapshot 3:Fri, Oct 18, 2024 5:34:33 PM GMT last edited by Haakan

China economy slowdown deepens, official figures show

China economy slowdown deepens, official figures show

Above: A newly built residential complex in Hangzhou, Zhejiang province. Investment in real estate development across China fell by 10.1% year-on-year in January-September period of 2024, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. Photo taken on Oct.17. Image copyright: CFOTO/ Future Publishing via Getty Images***PLEASE REPLACE WATERMARKED IMAGE***

The Facts

  • China struggles to meet the government's economic objective of 5% growth. According to new data from China's National Bureau of Statistics, released on Friday, the annual GDP growth rate in the three months to September was only 4.6%, the lowest since early last year.

  • China's economic growth has missed the 5% threshold for the second quarter in a row due to a housing crisis, poor consumers, and corporate confidence.

  • These numbers show how fragile the world's second-biggest economy was, prompting Beijing in September to take action, slashing interest rates and boosting property and stock markets, which resulted in a record market surge.

The Spin

China's economy is expanding and on track to meet its 5% growth target. Despite a slower-than-expected third quarter, growth remains at 4.8% year-over-year. Beijing has taken adequate measures to boost consumer confidence. China can afford to expand at a little slower pace in Q4 than expected while still meeting its full-year growth objective.

The most recent Reuters poll revealed a significantly pessimistic outlook compared to the previous July survey, which predicted 5.0% growth in 2024. The assumption currently is that China will miss its aim, falling to 4.8% and maybe cooling further by 2025. The government is under pressure to implement new stimulus programs, while consumers are hoping for deflationary actions.

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