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Snapshot 3:Thu, Oct 10, 2024 9:48:30 PM GMT last edited by JoseMoura

UK: Badenoch and Jenrick Reach Final Two in Tory Leadership Race

UK: Badenoch and Jenrick Reach Final Two in Tory Leadership Race

Above: Composite Image made between the two remaining Conservative Leadership contenders, Robert Jenrick and Kemi Badenoch. Image copyright: *** GETTY *** Dan Kitwood/Getty Images

The Facts

  • The race to become the next leader of the UK's opposition Conservative Party is now down to its final candidates, former business secretary Kemi Badenoch and former immigration minister Robert Jenrick, after four rounds of elimination votes.

  • This comes as Badenoch and Jenrick won 42 and 41 votes, respectively, in the final vote among Tory members of the Parliament on Wednesday, with the previous frontrunner James Cleverly knocked out with 37 votes — two less than on Tuesday.


The Spin

AKemi Badenoch is finally on track to be crown as Conservative leader, something that should have long happened had the party membership been allowed to choose her instead of Rishi Sunak or Liz Truss — but better late than never. She is and the most coherent candidate for Conservatives and the most intimidating candidate for Labour.

BRobert Jenrick is the best candidate to lead the Conservative Party into the next election, as he understands that Tories can only change their fortunes and rebuild the country if they are able to attract voters from both Reform and Left. Furthermore, he proved last year that he is courageous enough to stand by his beliefs.

spin-2With Cleverly out of the race, the Conservative Party will move further right — and further away from being an effective opposition. The next Tory leader will be either Badenoch or Jenrick, but the winner of this contest is actually Liberal Democrat leader Ed Davey, as his dream to capture more Conservative seats next election looks more realistic now.

There's a 60% chance that Kemi Badenoch will replace Rishi Sunak as the Conservative Party leader, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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