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Polls: Trump Ahead in Florida, Harris Ahead Nationally

Polls: Trump Polls Ahead in Florida, Harris inAhead National PollsNationally

Polls: Trump Ahead in Florida, Harris Ahead Nationally
Above: Democratic presidential nominee, US Vice Pres. Kamala Harris, greets Republican presidential nominee, former US Pres. Donald Trump honoring the 23rd anniversary of the 9/11 terror attacks on Sept. 11, 2024 in New York City. Image credit: Michael M. Santiago/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Kamala Harris only has a slight lead nationally, which means she's heading toward defeat if these swing state polls are accurate. As for anyone who balks at these numbers, they're comingbeing formvalidated theby most trusted sources — internal Democratic Party polls — which means the Harris campaign is terrifieddeeply concerned and reaching out for help.

A slight shift in a few polls is not a worry for Kamala Harris. Just a couple of weeks ago she was leading in all but one swing state, and she was even gaining ground on thetopics issuelike of who would govern better on immigration and the economy. IndepependentIndependent voters are going to decide this election, and Trump's personality will only continue to alienate the voters he needs most.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 54% chance that Kamala Harris will be elected US President in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

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