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Trump Returns to Butler, Pa., for Campaign Rally

Trump Returns to Butler, Pa., for Campaign Rally

Above: Former US President Donald Trump stands onstage during a campaign event at the Butler Farm Show in Butler, Pennsylvania, US, on Saturday, Oct. 5, 2024. Image copyright: *** GETTY *** Justin Merriman/Bloomberg via Getty Images

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Metaculus Prediction

There's a 45% chance that Donald Trump will be elected US President in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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© 2025 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 6.17.0

© 2025 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.0