Former Defense Minister Ishiba will become Japan's Prime Minister next week
NPR Online NewsSEP 2024
It's the legal duty of a sitting prime minister to decide when parliament is to be dissolved and a general election held. But parliament hasn't declared Ishiba PM, making this announcement illegal. The decision to conduct general elections in less than a month has everything to do with Ishiba's quest to capitalize on his mandate and give the opposition Constitutional Democratic Party as little time as possible to prepare under Yoshihiko Noda.
Ishiba has taken over the reins of a scandal-plagued party with a dwindling public support. He is poised to lead a country facing regional tensions, a severe cost-of-living crisis, and a falling birthrate. Yet, by radically scaling back some of former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s reflationary policy, the self-confessed lone wolf can lift his party's fortunes and establish a more assertive Japan that can reduce its reliance on the US for its defense.
There's a 50% chance that the LDP will lose its status as largest party in the House of Representatives of Japan by Aug. 22, 2043, according to the Metaculus prediction community.