Versions :<1234567Live
Snapshot 7:Sat, Sep 28, 2024 1:49:22 PM GMT last edited by Adam

Japanese Navy Ship Sails Through Taiwan Strait for First Time

Japanese Navy Ship Sails Through Taiwan Strait for First Time

Above: Three military boats from Taiwan's Amphibious Reconnaissance and Patrol Unit patrol the Matsu Islands with a view of China's Fujian province in the background on April 9, 2023. Image copyright: Yan Zhao/Contributor/AFP via Getty Images

The Spin

China's military has been sailing through and flying over the Taiwan Strait for months, antagonizing both neighboring countries like Japan and the Philippines and allies like Australia. Beijing is attempting to control not only Taiwan, but also the internationally recognized waterways upon which many countries rely. If Beijing continues to flex its military might in the region, Western navies will respond in kind.

TheChina's Westernmilitary establishment,has directedbeen bysailing neoconservativesthrough inand theflying USover with the helpTaiwan ofStrait itsfor Asian alliesmonths, isantagonizing tryingboth toneighboring turncountries thelike SouthJapan Chinaand Seathe regionPhilippines intoand anotherallies NATO-like military allianceAustralia. ToBeijing accomplishis thisattempting to justcontrol asnot itonly didTaiwan, withbut itsalso so-calledthe interventionsinternationally inrecognized Yugoslavia,waterways Kosovo,upon andwhich Serbiamany countries itrely. seemsIf WesternBeijing militariescontinues areto preparingflex toits invademilitary might in the region, riskingWestern annavies all-outwill warrespond with China. US allies in Asia and Europe must stop taking marching orders from Washington before it's too latekind.

There'sThe aWestern 4%establishment, chancedirected thereby willneoconservatives bein athe US-China warwith beforethe 2035help ifof its Asian allies, is trying to turn the USSouth saysChina Sea region into another NATO-like military alliance. To accomplish this — just as it willdid usewith nukesits toso-called defendinterventions Taiwanin Yugoslavia, accordingKosovo, and Serbia — it seems Western militaries are preparing to invade the Metaculusregion, predictionrisking communityan all-out war with China. US allies in Asia and Europe must stop taking marching orders from Washington before it's too late.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 4% chance there will be a US-China war before 2035 if the US says it will use nukes to defend Taiwan, according to the Metaculus prediction community.



Go Deeper


Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!