Marist Poll: Trump, Harris Virtually Tied in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina
Marist Poll: Trump, Harris Virtually Tied in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina
The Facts
New Marist College Sun Belt state polls found Vice Pres. Kamala Harris and former Pres. Donald Trump locked in tight races in three key battleground states that combined account for 43 Electoral College votes.
In Arizona, Trump has a one-point lead over Harris among likely voters statewide, 50% to 49%, as the Democrat trails by two points among Latinos — a demographic that Pres. Joe Biden carried by 24 points in 2020.
The Spin
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DemPolls have underestimated support for Trump both in 2016 and 2020, so the latest results in key Sun Belt battleground states are very positive for the Republican ticket. Compared to previous cycles, this is Trump's best chance to win by a landslide — and even to secure the popular vote.