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Poll: Kamala Harris Underperforming Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton with Young Men

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Kamala Harris and Donald Trump Neck-and-Neck in New CNN Poll

Muslim group endorses Harris despite opposition to her Gaza policy

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Metaculus

"I will do everything in my power to unite the Democratic Party... to defeat Donald Trump... And together, we will win."

"This is a race Democrats can and must win."

"If the Democrats can be unified... then they have a good chance to win in November."

"I’d be very wary and a bit cautious on assuming that Trump is just going to sail to victory."

"Donald Trump’s hopes of claiming the White House just went from near certain to extremely uncertain" now Biden has dropped out.

"This kind of chaos this close to Election Day means Trump is going to win."

"It doesn’t matter whom the Democrats pick... Donald Trump will win in November."

"Donald Trump is now the de facto president."

"If the 2024 presidential election is a race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris then Trump will win, every time, and most likely win easily."

"Harris will be easier to beat than Joe Biden would have been."

Who Will Win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

New Marist College Sun Belt state polls found Vice Pres. Kamala Harris and former Pres. Donald Trump locked in tight races in three key battleground states that combined account for 43 Electoral College votes.

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The Hill

In Arizona, where 11 electoral votes are up for grabs, Trump has a one-point lead over Harris among likely voters statewide, 50% to 49%, with both candidates viewed favorably by 47% of the respondents.

Home of the Marist Poll

The Republican nominee holds the same 50-49 advantage in Georgia, but there the Democratic candidate has a slightly better favorability and unfavorability ratings than Trump, 49% to 48% and 46% to 48%, respectively.

Meanwhile, Harris and Trump are tied in North Carolina at 49% among likely voters statewide, with the Republican

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US Electoral System Overview

US Presidential Election 2024 Overview

*** GETTY *** Demetrius Freeman/The Washington Post via Getty Images

Poll: Trump, Harris Virtually Tied in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina

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The Four Swing States That Could Matter Most

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Democrats worry as Trump pulls ahead in Sun Belt battlegrounds

There's a 55% chance that Kamala Harris will be elected US President in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Poll: Trump, Harris Virtually Tied in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina

Poll: Trump, Harris Virtually Tied in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina

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Poll: Trump, Harris Virtually Tied in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina

Poll: Trump, Harris Virtually Tied in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction

The Controversies

Harris

Clinton

Okun

Myers

Sabur

Sharma

Andrews

Mills

Goodwin

Trump

Go Deeper

Articles on this story

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