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Snapshot 2:Thu, Sep 26, 2024 5:50:58 PM GMT last edited by JoseMoura

Poll: Trump, Harris Virtually Tied in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina

Poll: Trump, Harris Virtually Tied in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina

Above: Democratic presidential candidate, Vice Pres. Kamala Harris, and Republican presidential candidate, former Pres. Donald Trump, shake hands ahead of the presidential debate at National Constitution Center in Philadelphia, PA on Sept. 10, 2024. Image copyright: *** GETTY *** Demetrius Freeman/The Washington Post via Getty Images

The Facts

  • 1New Marist College Sun Belt state polls found Vice Pres. Kamala Harris and former Pres. Donald Trump locked in tight races in three key battleground states that combined account for 43 Electoral College votes.

  • 2In Arizona, where 11 electoral votes are up for grabs, Trump has a one-point lead over Harris among likely voters statewide, 50% to 49%, with both candidates viewed favorably by 47% of the respondents.

  • 3The Republican nominee holds the same 50-49 advantage in Georgia, but there the Democratic candidate has a slightly better favorability and unfavorability ratings than Trump, 49% to 48% and 46% to 48%, respectively.

The Spin

Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies



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