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Snapshot 3:Mon, Sep 23, 2024 5:43:49 PM GMT last edited by TylerJ

US Election: Trump Rules Out 2028 Presidential Bid If Unsuccessful In November

US Election: Trump Rules Out 2028 Presidential Bid If Unsuccessful In November

Above: Republican presidential candidate former US President Donald Trump arrives for a campaign rally at the Aero Center Wilmington on September 21, 2024 in Wilmington, North Carolina. Image copyright: Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Despite remaining as quick-witted as ever, it is no surprise that a man close to entering his 80s is unlikely to extend his political career past 2028. Having survived two assassination attempts and countless barrages of deep state warfare, Trump more than deserves political retirement once he has finished the job of making America great again.

With a notable track record of taking unfavorable election results poorly, don't be surprised if Trump fails to stay true to his words if he is once again unsuccessful at the ballot box this November. As long as a plethora of legal cases continue to haunt the former President, it is likely Trump will continue his attempts to leverage political power post-November irrespective of 2024's result.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 1% chance that Trump will win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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