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Snapshot 2:Mon, Sep 23, 2024 5:43:18 PM GMT last edited by TylerJ

US Election: Trump Rules Out 2028 Presidential Bid If Unsuccessful In November

US Election: Trump Rules Out 2028 Presidential Bid If Unsuccessful In November

Above: Republican presidential candidate former U.S. President Donald Trump walks offstage after speaking at a campaign rally at the Aero Center Wilmington on September 21, 2024 in Wilmington, North Carolina. Image copyright: Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

WithDespite aremaining notableas trackquick-witted recordas ofever, takingit unfavorableis electionno resultssurprise poorly,that don'ta beman surprisedclose if Trump fails to stayentering true to his words80s if he is onceunlikely againto unsuccessfulextend athis thepolitical ballotcareer boxpast this November2028. AsHaving longsurvived astwo aassassination plethoraattempts ofand legalcountless casesbarrages continueof todeep hauntstate the former Presidentwarfare, itTrump ismore likelythan Trumpdeserves willpolitical continueretirement hisonce attemptshe tohas leveragefinished politicalthe powerjob post-Novemberof irrespectivemaking ofAmerica 2024'sgreat resultagain.

With a notable track record of taking unfavorable election results poorly, don't be surprised if Trump fails to stay true to his words if he is once again unsuccessful at the ballot box this November. As long as a plethora of legal cases continue to haunt the former President, it is likely Trump will continue his attempts to leverage political power post-November irrespective of 2024's result.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 1% chance that Trump will win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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