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Snapshot 5:Thu, Sep 19, 2024 10:32:18 AM GMT last edited by Haakan

Venezuela: Opposition Leader Says "Forced" to Admit Election Defeat

Venezuela: Opposition Leader Says "Forced" to Admit Election Defeat

Above: A rally in front of the Spanish Parliament on September 10, 2024, carried Edmundo Gonzalez photos with the caption "Forced exile is political persecution". Edmundo Gonzalez sought asylum in Spain on September 8. Image copyright: Marcos del Mazo / Contributor/LightRocket via Getty Images***PLEASE REPLACE WATERMARKED IMAGE***

The Spin

Nicolás Maduro has retained power in Venezuela despite widespread skepticism, with much help from a government-controlled electoral council. Allegations of voter suppression and irregularities, such as closing borders and blocking vote tallies, have fuelled international criticism. Many countries, including the US and EU, have rejected the results, calling for a transparent vote count.

International election observers have found Venezuela’s recent election to be transparent and credible. Despite winning by a narrowslim victorymargin, a careful review confirmed Nicolás Maduro's win was verified by a thorough review processvictory. The refusal to recognize this result undermines Venezuelan democracy and stability, fueling unrest. Acknowledging the outcome would respect the will of the Venezuelan people.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 51% chance of a civil war in Venezuela before 2050, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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