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Snapshot 1:Wed, Sep 18, 2024 8:18:22 PM GMT last edited by MattKalman

Fed Cuts Interest Rates By Half a Point

Above: Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Sept. 18, 2024 announces an interest rate cut. Image copyright: Anna Moneymaker/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

The Biden-Harris economy is well on its way to a full recovery. The Fed needed to normalize interest rates after their huge fall, and this rate cut will help the economy stick the landing and avoid a recession. This should sway more voters away from former Pres. Donald Trump to VP Kamala Harris.

Aside from the Fed breaking tradition by cutting rates so close to Election Day — and possibly influencing the outcome of the election — this giant cut shows how poorly the Biden-Harris economy is doing. The economy needed this jolt just to show any sign of life, but it's not enough to help the average American.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 55% chance that annual US core CPI inflation will be above 3% in December 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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