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Snapshot 5:Thu, Sep 19, 2024 4:24:18 AM GMT last edited by Scott

China Sanctions 9 US Military-Linked Firms Over Taiwan Arms Sales

China Sanctions 9 US Military-Linked Firms Over Taiwan Arms Sales

Above: China's foreign ministry spokesman Lin Jian during a press conference on March 18, 2024, in Beijing, China. Image copyright: VCG/Contributor/Visual China Group via Getty Images

The Spin

Such measures are necessary to prevent any entities from violating the previously agreed-upon One China principle and driving a wedge between Taiwan and mainland China. By continuing to arm Taiwan and support its independence, the US threatens the PRC's sovereignty, security, and territorial integrity and endangers cross-strait peace and stability. The White House must desist from engaging with Taipei's secessionist leaders and immediately halt military collusion with Taiwan.

The US doesn't recognize Taiwan as an independent state. However, Washington is against usurping the island by force and is legally bound to support Taiwan’s defensive capability, modernize its military, and expand its presence in global activities. Though Taiwan is a flash point in US-China relations, the White House will continue to aid the island to minimize its vulnerabilities to China's invasive tactics.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 66% chance that the US will respond with military force if China invades Taiwan before 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Such measures are necessary to prevent any entities from violating the previously agreed-upon One China principle and driving a wedge between Taiwan and mainland China. By continuing to arm Taiwan and support its independence, the US threatens the PRC's sovereignty, security, and territorial integrity and endangers cross-strait peace and stability. The White House must desist from engaging with Taipei's secessionist leaders and immediately halt military collusion with Taiwan.

The US doesn't recognize Taiwan as an independent state. However, Washington is against usurping the island by force and is legally bound to support Taiwan’s defensive capability, modernize its military, and expand its presence in global activities. Though Taiwan is a flash point in US-China relations, the White House will continue to aid the island to minimize its vulnerabilities to China's invasive tactics.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 66% chance that the US will respond with military force if China invades Taiwan before 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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