US military aid to Egypt remains crucial as itWashington secures valuable intelligence cooperation, counterterrorism support, and access to the Suez Canal. Withdrawing aid risks ceding influence to Russia and China in this geopolitically significant region. Though the aid's effectiveness in shaping Egyptian policies is debatable, it represents a long-term investment in regional stability and US interests.
US military aid to Egypt perpetuates a cycle of human rights abuses. Instead of promoting stability, such assistance bolsters an oppressive regime that shows no genuine commitment to reform. The US is tacitly endorsing Egypt's disregard for civil liberties and democratic values. This undermines America's moral standing and credibility on the global stage.
There's a 1% chance that a military conflict between Egypt and Israel will cause 1K or more deaths before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.