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Snapshot 12:Tue, Sep 10, 2024 4:44:26 PM GMT last edited by Eric

Poll: Harris, Trump Deadlocked as Debate Nears

Poll: Harris, Trump Deadlocked as Debate Nears

Above: ABC News signage is installed in the media file center inside the Pennsylvania Convention Center one day before the presidential debate on Sept. 9, 2024 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Image copyright: Chip Somodevilla/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

The most obvious reason for this poll is that Harris' post-nomination honeymoon phase is over and the public is beginning to see her flaws as a candidate. As she braces for her first debate, she won't only deal with the fact that Trump is better than her on immigration and the economy, but that Trump is statistically likely to beat her on Election Day should he remain within a point or two in the polls.

Harris,The asmost viceobvious presidentsreason havefor historicallythis donepoll inis thethat past,Harris' haspost-nomination beenhoneymoon forcedphase tois takeover heatand forthe herpublic boss'is challengesbeginning butto receivesee littleher creditflaws foras hisa successescandidate. HarrisAs hasshe anbraces opportunityfor toher showfirst thatdebate, she won'st heronly owndeal candidate with newthe andfact popularthat ideas.Trump Theis Americanbetter peoplethan noher longeron careimmigration aboutand "Vicethe Presidenteconomy, Harris"but that they'reTrump eageris statistically likely to hearbeat howher "Presidenton Harris"Election wouldDay upliftshould thehe countryremain afterwithin defeatinga thepoint bitterlyor divisivetwo andin dangerousthe Trump campaignpolls.

ThereHarris, isas avice 51%presidents chancehave Vicehistorically Presidentdone Kamalain the past, has been forced to take heat for her boss' challenges but receive little credit for his successes. Harris willhas bean electedopportunity USto show that she's her own candidate with new and popular ideas. The American people no longer care about "Vice President inHarris" 2024, accordingthey're eager to hear how "President Harris" would uplift the Metaculuscountry predictionafter communitydefeating the bitterly divisive and dangerous Trump campaign.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 51% chance Vice President Kamala Harris will be elected US President in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.



The Controversies



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