Without a clear frontrunner in the polls, Tuesday's debate in Pittsburgh will likely be crucial for many voters. The electoral college favors the Republican ticket, so every vote matters. Kamala Harris must emphasize her accomplishments and outline her plans for the future. She needs to show the public that she is strong and capable, challenge Trump to speak out of turn, and let him ruin it for himself. The muted microphone is an unfortunate drawback for this tactic.
Tuesday's debate will be Trump's seventh general election debate appearance, more than any other contender in US history. He has prior experience and knows that his base will always support him. Trump's debate style is unpredictable, and he has the ability to surprise and confuse his opponents, making him a formidable opponent. However, to secure victory in the November election, he must expand his appeal beyond his most loyal supporters, as he lost the national popular vote in both 2016 and 2020.
There is a 52% chance Vice President Kamala Harris will be elected US President in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.