Versions :<123456789101112Live>
Snapshot 5:Mon, Sep 9, 2024 3:38:55 PM GMT last edited by Haakan

Harris and Trump tied in latest US election polls, as Tuesday’s debate nears

Harris and Trump tied in latest US election polls, as Tuesday’s debate nears

Above: Emblems of the Republican Elephant and Democratic Donkey are positioned on the American flag. Image copyright: Marie Hickman / Editorial RF / via Getty Images***PLEASE REPLACE IMAGE***

The Facts

  • According to a national survey by the New York Times and Siena College, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are deadlocked less than two months before election day, making Tuesday's presidential debate crucial.

  • A day before the televised debate in Pittsburg, Trump leads Harris by one point, 48% to 47%. The poll ran from September 3 to 6.

  • Since entering the campaign after President Biden stepped down in July, Harris has swiftly transformed into a serious contender from the relative unknown. However, the polls suggest she hasn’t made a breakthrough, making the race an even contest.


The Spin


Without a clear frontrunner in the polls, Tuesday's debate in Pittsburgh will likely be crucial for many voters. The electoral college favors the Republican ticket, so every vote matters. Kamala Harris must emphasize her accomplishments and outline her plans for the future. She needs to show the public that she is strong and capable, challenge Trump to speak out of turn, and let him ruin it for himself. The muted microphone is an unfortunate drawback for this tactic.


Tuesday's debate will be Trump's seventh general election debate appearance, more than any other contender in US history. He has prior experience and knows that his base will always support him. Trump's debate style is unpredictable, and he has the ability to surprise and confuse his opponents, making him a formidable opponent. However, to secure victory in the November election, he must expand his appeal beyond his most loyal supporters, as he lost the national popular vote in both 2016 and 2020.


Metaculus Prediction


The Controversies



Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!