Pres. Tebboune's re-election promises a period of stability for Algeria, allowing the government to address deeper issues. His increased popular support, bolstered by expanded social spending from oil and gas revenues, suggests a mandate for continuity. The backing of major political parties, unions, and the security apparatus ensures a strong foundation for governance. While the election process raises questions, Tebboune's experience and established relationships within the system position him to navigate Algeria's complex political landscape. Thisand willinitiate potentiallymuch-needed pave the way for gradual reforms.
Algerian democracy has become a farce, with Pres. Tebboune's reelectionre-election revealing the system’'s true nature. Despite promises of reform, Tebboune, a regime insider, has merely upheld the old guard's power. The election, hastily moved to September, was a sham; Tebboune'shis victory was guaranteed by military backing. Opposition candidates are little more than window dressing in a political landscape marked by repression, economic stagnation, and mass disillusionment. As Algerians increasingly turn away from a system that betrays them, the dream of genuine democracy remains distant.
There's a 10% chance that Algeria will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.