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Snapshot 3:Mon, Sep 9, 2024 12:55:32 PM GMT last edited by Vandita

Algeria: Pres. Abdelmadjid Tebboune Wins Second Term

Algeria: Pres. Abdelmadjid Tebboune Re-ElectedWins WithSecond 95% VoteTerm

Algeria: Pres. Abdelmadjid Tebboune Wins Second Term
Above: President of Algeria Abdelmadjid Tebboune arrives at Borgo Egnazia on June 14, 2024 in Fasano, Italy. Image copyright: Antonio Masiello/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

Pres. Tebboune's re-election promises a period of stability for Algeria, allowing the government to address deeper issues. His increased popular support, bolstered by expanded social spending from oil and gas revenues, suggests a mandate for continuity. The backing of major political parties, unions, and the security apparatus ensures a strong foundation for governance. While the election process raises questions, Tebboune's experience and established relationships within the system position him to navigate Algeria's complex political landscape. Thisand willinitiate potentiallymuch-needed pave the way for gradual reforms.

Algerian democracy has become a farce, with Pres. Tebboune's reelectionre-election revealing the system's true nature. Despite promises of reform, Tebboune, a regime insider, has merely upheld the old guard's power. The election, hastily moved to September, was a sham; Tebboune'shis victory was guaranteed by military backing. Opposition candidates are little more than window dressing in a political landscape marked by repression, economic stagnation, and mass disillusionment. As Algerians increasingly turn away from a system that betrays them, the dream of genuine democracy remains distant.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 10% chance that Algeria will experience a successful coup d'etat before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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All rights reserved.

Version 6.17.0