This was a diplomatic victory for the US, which successfully negotiated the release of 135 political prisoners from President Ortega's dictatorship without offering anything in return. Ortega's arbitrary arrests and incarceration of members of the opposition and NGOs, and stripping dissidents of their nationality, must cease. No one should have to risk getting arrested for peacefully exercising their fundamental rights of free expression, assocation, and religtion.
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There' s 29% chance Nicaragua will experience a successful coup d'etat before Jan. 1, 2040, according to Metaculus prediction community.