The recent attack by the Houthis on the Greek oil ship Sounion, which was carrying 150K tons of crude oil, demonstrates that the Iran-backed rebels are willing to take extreme measures, even at the risk of causing an environmental disaster in the Red Sea. The Sounion poses an environmental and navigational threat, so it is crucial for the world community to put this issue first. Furthermore, it is imperative to take measures to prevent the Houthis from obstructing one of the world's most crucial maritime trade routes and attacking commercial vessels.
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There is a 5% chance there will be an Israel-Hamas conflict ceasefire lasting at least 30 days agreed to before November 5th, 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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