New Poll Shows Harris Expanding Lead Over Trump

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Aug 29, 2024

Above: Democratic presidential candidate U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris speaks on stage during the final day of the Democratic National Convention at the United Center on August 22, 2024 in Chicago, Illinois. Image copyright: Justin Sullivan/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Imagesstory last updated Aug 29

The Facts

According to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll, Democratic US presidential candidate Kamala Harris is leading her Republican opponent Donald Trump 45%-41%, with a margin of error of 2%.
Harris also gained ground among women and Hispanic voters by a margin of 49%- 36%, while Trump was up by 7% among men and White voters. Harris' 52% unfavorability was lower than Trump's 59%, and she led 47%-39% in favorability.

The Spin

Kamala Harris' poll numbers have skyrocketed at the perfect time. Not only is the election just around the corner, but her prime-time debate with Trump is scheduled for Sept. 10, giving her an opportunity to speak to even more voters. Harris gained popularity after her debate with former VP Mike Pence in 2020, after which she and Joe Biden won the election. Now, she'll do so again with Trump, no matter what Republican say about her public speaking abilities.

New York Times

Pre-election polls have always been slanted in favor of Democrats, largely due to the fact that older White women are the only ones who answer them. However, when older White women and men vote on election day, Trump has crushed the Democrats, which is why his 2016 victory was so surprising. Trump also defeated Biden in that demographic in 2020, and Kamala Harris is certainly not going to win them over.