While Crooks's exact motive remains unknown, painstaking work by the FBI reveals that he searched for rallies by both Trump and Biden and narrowed in on Trump's Butler speech shortly after it was announced. It appears he was more intent on carrying out some act of violence of rather than pursuing a specific ideological goal.
It is good that more information about the shooting is finally being released. However, the FBI has still not answered vital questions about how a suspicious person could roam around for at least an hour, or how he was able to be on a roof so close to the former president for so long without being neutralized.
There is a 28% chance that there will be no assassination of a sitting US President until after Jan. 1, 2100, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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