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Snapshot 3:Tue, Aug 27, 2024 8:21:22 PM GMT last edited by MattKalman

Macron Rules Out Left-Wing Government for France

Macron Rules Out Left-Wing Government for France

Above: Emmanuel Macron President of France during the Closing Ceremony of the Olympic Games Paris 2024 at Stade de France on August 11, 2024 in Paris, France. Image copyright: *** GETTY *** Amin Mohammad Jamali/Getty Images

The Spin

The leftist bloc may have agreed on Lucie Castets as their candidate for prime minister, but Macron has a constitutional duty to ensure the stability of the country. If he were to appoint Castets, all other groups would form a majority to vote a motion of no-confidence against her government — and that's definitely not what institutional stability looks like.

That Macron and his centrist allies are still in denial doesn't affect the fact that the French people have given a clear mandate to the leftist NFP. Therefore, his moves to deny the largest alliance its chance to form a new government and grab power through covert plots indicate his undemocratic disregard for the popular vote.

Macron is on a dangerous path against both the most voted party — the right-wing National Rally — and the largest group — the NFP — in a desperate power grab after his camp suffered a massive defeat in legislative elections. As he does so, he denies democracy and undermines the republic's institutions and the sovereignty of the people.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 38% chance that French president Emmanuel Macron will call another snap legislative election before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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