India's Modi will have a difficult balancing act to keep positive relations with Ukraine, while keeping Russia — which India shares a decades-long relationship with — happy. However, Modi is one of few world leaders thatwho has thisa good relationship with both countries, alongside the diplomacy required to make such a peace deal happen.
This trip is about India's self-interest, rather than an interest in peace or any other matters. By making this trip, Modi is continuing on his quest to bring Europe closer to India. That's because as Russia cozies up to China, Modi feels that India may need to make new alliances.
There is a 1% chance there will be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
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