US and Europe warn Lebanon’s Hezbollah to ease strikes on Israel and back off from wider Mideast war
Associated PressJUL 2024
US Sends Armed Submarine to Middle East
US Sends Armed Submarine to Middle East
Above: US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin greets Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant at the Pentagon on June 25, 2024. Image copyright: Andrew Harnik/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images
The Spin
While Iran and its proxies will cite the assassinations as their reason for their recent attacks, Israel had to target the men who were intentionally stalling Gaza cease-fire talks. If Iran-backed militias choose to remain on the offensive, the US and Israel — who are interested in completing a cease-fire Hamas refuses to accept — have no choice but to flex all their might to stop these terrorists from making any big moves.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 91% chance that there will be1k or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before Jan. 1, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.
There'sWhile aIran 91%and chanceits thatproxies there will be1kcite orthe moreassassinations deathsas duetheir toreason armedfor conflicttheir betweenrecent attacks, Israel andhad Hezbollahto beforetarget Janthe men who were intentionally stalling Gaza cease-fire talks. 1,If 2025,Iran-backed accordingmilitias choose to remain on the Metaculusoffensive, predictionthe communityUS and Israel — who are interested in completing a cease-fire Hamas refuses to accept — have no choice but to flex all their might to stop these terrorists from making any big moves.
The cease-fire deal that was reportedly approved by Israel was a farce from the beginning, and Netanyahu lied to the US about it. Then, likely with the help of US intelligence agencies, Israel carried out unprovoked assassinations — calculated actions by Israel, which was hoping to make it look like Iran-backed proxies were obstructing peace and readying for war. If there's an escalation here, the US and Israeli warmongers will be to blame.
Metaculus Prediction
There's a 91% chance that there will be1k or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before Jan. 1, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.