Versions :<123456789Live>
Snapshot 5:Mon, Aug 12, 2024 9:22:38 PM GMT last edited by MattKalman

US Sends Armed Submarine to Defend Israel

US Sends Armed Submarine to Defend Israel

Above: US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin greets Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant at the Pentagon on June 25, 2024. Image copyright: Andrew Harnik/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

TheWhile cease-fireIran dealand thatits wasproxies reportedlywill approvedcite bythe Israelassassinations wasas atheir farcereason fromfor thetheir beginningrecent attacks, andIsrael Netanyahuhad lied to target the USmen aboutwho it.were Then,intentionally likelystalling withGaza thecease-fire helptalks. ofIf USIran-backed intelligencemilitias agencies,choose Israelto carriedremain outon unprovokedthe assassinationsoffensive, the calculatedUS actionsand by Israel, which waswho hopingare tointerested makein itcompleting looka like Irancease-backedfire proxiesHamas wererefuses obstructingto peaceaccept and readyinghave forno war.choice Ifbut there'sto anflex escalationall here,their themight USto andstop Israelithese warmongersterrorists willfrom bemaking toany blamebig moves.

There'sThe acease-fire 91%deal chance that therewas willreportedly be1kapproved orby moreIsrael deathswas duea tofarce armedfrom conflictthe betweenbeginning, Israel and HezbollahNetanyahu beforelied Janto the US about it. 1Then, 2025likely with the help of US intelligence agencies, accordingIsrael carried out unprovoked assassinations — calculated actions by Israel, which was hoping to make it look like Iran-backed proxies were obstructing peace and readying for war. If there's an escalation here, the MetaculusUS predictionand communityIsraeli warmongers will be to blame.

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 91% chance that there will be1k or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before Jan. 1, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



Articles on this story

Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

Sign Up!
Sign Up Now!