Snapshot 3:Mon, Aug 12, 2024 9:22:38 PM GMT last edited by MattKalman

US Sends Armed Submarine to Defend Israel

Published AUG 12 2024

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Above: US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin greets Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant at the Pentagon on June 25, 2024. Image credit: Andrew Harnik/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

The US may not be able to prevent escalatory attacks given Hamas' continued refusal to accept a ceasefire deal and Israel's assassinations in response. While Iran and its proxies will cite the assassinations as their reason for newtheir recent attacks, Israel felthad obligated to target the men who were intentionally stalling theGaza cease-fire talks. If Iran-backed militias choose to remain on the offensive, the US and Israel must— showwho are interested in completing a cease-fire Hamas refuses to accept — have no choice but to flex all their might to stop these terrorists from making any big moves.

U.S. Department of Defense Council on Foreign Relations

The ceasefirecease-fire deal that was reportedly approved by Israel was a farce from the beginning, and Netanyahu lied to the US about it. Then, likely with the help of US intelligence agencies, Israel assassinatedcarried Ismailout Haniyeh,unprovoked Hamas'assassinations lead— negotiator. These were calculated eventsactions by Israel, withwhich thewas goalhoping ofto makingmake it look like Iran-backed proxies were obstructing peace and readying for war. USIf andthere's Israelian warmongersescalation arehere, aboutthe toUS ignite a full-scale war and makeIsraeli Americanwarmongers soldierswill diebe into itblame.

The Nation

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 91% chance that there will be1k or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before Jan. 1, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.