US Sends Armed Submarine to Defend Israel

Published AUG 12 2024

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Above: U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin greets Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant as he arrives during an honor cordon at the Pentagon on June 25, 2024 in Arlington, Virginia. Image copyright: Andrew Harnik/Staff/Getty Images News via Getty Images

The Spin

The cease-fire deal that was reportedly approved by Israel was a farce from the beginning, and Netanyahu lied to the US about it. Then, likely with the help of US intelligence agencies, Israel carried out unprovoked assassinations — calculated actions by Israel, which was hoping to make it look like Iran-backed proxies were obstructing peace and readying for war. If there's an escalation here, the US and Israeli warmongers will be to blame.

The Nation

Metaculus Prediction

There's a 91% chance that there will be1k or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before Jan. 1, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community.