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Snapshot 5:Thu, Aug 8, 2024 4:46:40 PM GMT last edited by Brian

Biden Not Confident of Orderly Power Transfer if Trump Loses

Biden Not Confident of Orderly Power Transfer if Trump Loses

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The Spin

It's not just Trump repeating this anti-democracy rhetoric; his whole campaign strategy is based on it. One of his top advisors recently stated that team Trump won't accept any election results until Inauguration Day, suggesting it will be Trump and only Trump who is sworn into office next year. The pro-Trump Republican Party has become eerily comfortable with this language, and the American public should be aware of it.

DonaldThe Trump'ssame norm-breakingDemocrats actionswho arejust moreinstalled spectaclea thanpresidential substance.nominee Therewith isno absolutelyvoting noprocess evidenceshould thatnot hebe seeksaccusing toTrump unconstitutionallyof seize powerauthoritarianism. TheWhile realthe dangerBiden-Harris liesadminstration indistracts neglectingus underlyingwith socialhyperbolic andclaims economicabout issues.Trump, Focusingthey've embarked on exaggeratedone threats of tyrannythe distractsmost fromauthoritarian addressingmissions economicin inequalitiesUS andhistory: socialoverhauling justice,the whichJudicial areBranch theto trueestablish sourcespermanent ofDemocrat political instabilitypower. AndTo thatsee iswho's really authoritarian, just look at the realpeople threattrying to USdestroy democracy,the notindependent Trumpjudiciary .

Donald Trump's norm-breaking actions are more spectacle than substance. There is aabsolutely 25%no chanceevidence thethat Unitedhe Statesseeks becometo aunconstitutionally dictatorshipseize bypower. 2100The real danger lies in neglecting underlying social and economic issues. Focusing on exaggerated threats of tyranny distracts from addressing economic inequalities and social justice, accordingwhich toare the Metaculustrue predictionsources communityof political instability. And that is the real threat to US democracy, not Trump.

Metaculus Prediction

There is a 25% chance the United States become a dictatorship by 2100, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


The Controversies



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